Donald out, Woods survives at Match Play

Golf Betting Lines

02/22/2012 - Marana, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top overall seed and defending champion Luke Donald was eliminated Wednesday in the first round of the WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship.

Donald drew no ordinary No. 64 seed.

Ernie Els, who only made the field thanks to withdrawals by Phil Mickelson and Paul Casey, trounced Donald, 5 & 4, at the Ritz Carlton Golf Club.

"Obviously playing against Luke, I needed to be on," Els said in a televised interview. "I knew had to play really well and I did. I kept it in play and made some big putts in the end."

Donald never trailed en route to victory last year and he never reached the 18th green. He didn't get there on Wednesday, either, but that was due to the play of his Hall of Fame opponent.

Donald never led in the match and Els built a 2-up lead at the turn. Donald fought gamely, but never won another hole. Els took the 11th, 12th and 14th holes to knock off the No. 1 player in the Bobby Jones bracket.

Donald was the only No. 1 seed to lose. Rory McIlroy, Lee Westwood and last year's runner-up, Martin Kaymer, were victorious.

Tiger Woods, a three-time champion, holed a gutsy 12-foot par putt to beat Gonzalo-Fernandez Castano. Woods, seeded No. 5 in the Sam Snead bracket, didn't have his best game, but hung tough and did better than last year when he was eliminated in the first round.

"We both made our share of mistakes; there's no doubt about that," said Woods. "But somehow I was able to move on."

Woods fell 2-down right out of the gate, but built a 1-up lead with wins at five, seven and eight. Woods stumbled badly with losses at 10 and 11, then made a tough par save just to halve the 12th and stay 1-down.

Woods squared the match with a birdie at 15 and Fernandez-Castano let one get away at 16. He had six feet to halve the hole, but missed to give Woods a 1-up lead.

After pars at 17, Woods' second flew into the back bunker at the last. He had a tough shot from the trap with little green to work with and did well to get it 12 feet past the flag.

Fernandez-Castano had a decent look at birdie, but missed and was conceded par. Woods needed to make his putt to avoid extra holes and did just that.

Woods will meet the fourth seed in the Snead bracket, Nick Watney, who advanced with a resounding 5 & 4 victory over reigning British Open champion Darren Clarke.

The top seeds moved on in Woods' part of the Snead bracket. Westwood defeated Nicolas Colsaerts, 3 & 1, while eighth-ranked Robert Karlsson trounced fellow Swede Fredrik Jacobson, 6 & 5.

The bottom portion of that bracket featured all upsets. Matteo Manassero, No. 15, eliminated the second seed, Webb Simpson, 3 & 2. Martin Laird knocked off Alvaro Quiros, 1-up, while Ryo Ishikawa won the 18th to upend last week's Northern Trust Open winner and third seed, Bill Haas, 1-up. Paul Lawrie, the 11th seed, beat Justin Rose, 1-up.

Kaymer, the highest seed in the Ben Hogan bracket, was steady in his win and drew David Toms in the second round after Toms, the 2005 winner and eighth seed this year, topped Rickie Fowler, 1-up.

The rest of that bracket almost totally went in form with higher seeds Steve Stricker, Louis Oosthuizen, Matt Kuchar, Bubba Watson and Hunter Mahan winning. The only major upset was 14th-seeded Y.E. Yang knocking off No. 3 Graeme McDowell, 2 & 1.

McIlroy, tops in the Gary Player bracket, earned a hard-fought victory over George Coetzee, 2-up. McIlroy will next meet Anders Hansen, who dusted Kyung-tae Kim, 5 & 3.

"I felt like I played pretty good," McIlroy said in his televised interview. "Thankfully I'm through to the second round."

Miguel Angel Jimenez upset fellow Spaniard Sergio Garcia, 2 & 1, and "The Mechanic" next has Keegan Bradley, a playoff loser last week but a 4 & 3 victor over two-time Accenture winner Geoff Ogilvy.

The No. 2 seed in the Player bracket, Jason Day, won the last three holes in regulation, then the first playoff hole to beat Rafael Cabrera-Bello. Day's opponent Thursday will be John Senden, the 10th seed, who beat Simon Dyson, 4 & 3.

Masters champion Charl Schwartzel advanced on Wednesday and has a tilt with Sang-Moon Bae on Thursday after Bae handled 2010 winner Ian Poulter, 4 & 3.

Els will meet Peter Hanson on Thursday after Hanson topped Jason Dufner, 2 & 1.

Brandt Snedeker needed three extra holes to fend off Retief Goosen, setting up a re-match of the Farmers Insurance Open playoff against Kyle Stanley, who outlasted K.J. Choi, 2 & 1.

The other winners in the Jones bracket were No. 3 Dustin Johnson, No. 11 Francesco Molinari, 10th seed Mark Wilson and Robert Rock, the 15th seed, who beat No. 2 Adam Scott.

NOTES: It was the third time the No. 1 overall seed lost in the first round...There were 15 upsets in the first round, the second-most in tournament history...The second round is on tap for Thursday, and the third round will be played Friday. The quarterfinals are Saturday, then the semifinals Sunday morning, followed by the final and consolation match in the afternoon.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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